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Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh

Received: 15 January 2014     Published: 20 February 2014
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Abstract

In most of the practical cases, Flood frequency analysis is carried out due to the safe design of hydraulic structures. This paper represents the result of Flood frequency analysis for Padma River at Hardinge Bridge station. The Flood frequencies of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500 and 1000 year Floods was analyzed by probability methods develop by Gumbel, Powell, Ven Te chow as well as Stochastic methods. The analysis was carried out for the duration of 13 years ranges from 2000 to 2012. This research aims to compare four methods of Flood frequency analysis to find the optimum method in terms of safe design of hydraulic structures. From the comparison between four methods the Gumbel and stochastic method may be recommended for designing and locating hydraulic structures.

Published in American Journal of Civil Engineering (Volume 2, Issue 1)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
Page(s) 8-11
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2014. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Flood frequency, Return period, Padma River, Standard Deviation, Skewness

References
[1] H.M Raghunath, 2009 revised edition, Hydrology: principle analysis and design, New Delhi, New age international publishers.
[2] Tumbare, M. J. 2000. "Mitigating Flood in South Africa", paper at the 1st WARSFA/ water Net Symposium: suntainable use of water Resources, 1-2 November, Maputo
[3] Ahmed, A.U and Mirza, M. M. Q. 2000. "Review of causes and Dimensions of Floods with Particular Reference to Flood’ 98: National Perspectives". In Ahmed, Q.K., Chowdhury, Press Limited, Dhaka, pp. 67-84.
[4] Bangladesh Water Development Board (BWDB), 2012. Annual Flood Report 2012, Flood Forecasting & Warning Centre Processing & Flood Forecasting Circle, Bangladesh Water Development Board.
[5] Islam KMN, and Mechler R. 2007. ORCHID: Piloting Climate Risk Screening in DFID Bangladesh. An Economic and Cost Benefit Analysis of Adaptation Options. Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex, UK.
[6] Economics of Adaption to Climate Change Bangladesh 2010. The World Bank Group, Washington, D.C. 20433 USA
[7] Catchment areas of major rivers : http://www.jrcb.gov.bd/basin_map.html ( Accessed 5th January, 2014)
[8] Hassan S. and Akhtaruzzaman A.F.M 2010. "Environmental Change Detection of the Padma river in the North-Western part of Bangladesh using Multi-date Landsat Data" ICEAB10, Japan, Sept. 2010
[9] K. Sunbaranya, 2011 Eleventh reprint, Engineering hydrology, New Delhi, Tata McGraw Hill Education Private Limited.
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Raihan Khan Opu, Abdullah Al Masum, Ringkon Biswas, Samiul Islam. (2014). Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. American Journal of Civil Engineering, 2(1), 8-11. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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    ACS Style

    Raihan Khan Opu; Abdullah Al Masum; Ringkon Biswas; Samiul Islam. Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. Am. J. Civ. Eng. 2014, 2(1), 8-11. doi: 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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    AMA Style

    Raihan Khan Opu, Abdullah Al Masum, Ringkon Biswas, Samiul Islam. Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. Am J Civ Eng. 2014;2(1):8-11. doi: 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12,
      author = {Raihan Khan Opu and Abdullah Al Masum and Ringkon Biswas and Samiul Islam},
      title = {Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh},
      journal = {American Journal of Civil Engineering},
      volume = {2},
      number = {1},
      pages = {8-11},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajce.20140201.12},
      abstract = {In most of the practical cases, Flood frequency analysis is carried out due to the safe design of hydraulic structures. This paper represents the result of Flood frequency analysis for Padma River at Hardinge Bridge station. The Flood frequencies of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500 and 1000 year Floods was analyzed by probability methods develop by Gumbel, Powell, Ven Te chow as well as Stochastic methods. The analysis was carried out for the duration of 13 years ranges from 2000 to 2012. This research aims to compare four methods of Flood frequency analysis to find the optimum method in terms of safe design of hydraulic structures. From the comparison between four methods the Gumbel and stochastic method may be recommended for designing and locating hydraulic structures.},
     year = {2014}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh
    AU  - Raihan Khan Opu
    AU  - Abdullah Al Masum
    AU  - Ringkon Biswas
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    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
    T2  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
    JF  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
    JO  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
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    SN  - 2330-8737
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
    AB  - In most of the practical cases, Flood frequency analysis is carried out due to the safe design of hydraulic structures. This paper represents the result of Flood frequency analysis for Padma River at Hardinge Bridge station. The Flood frequencies of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500 and 1000 year Floods was analyzed by probability methods develop by Gumbel, Powell, Ven Te chow as well as Stochastic methods. The analysis was carried out for the duration of 13 years ranges from 2000 to 2012. This research aims to compare four methods of Flood frequency analysis to find the optimum method in terms of safe design of hydraulic structures. From the comparison between four methods the Gumbel and stochastic method may be recommended for designing and locating hydraulic structures.
    VL  - 2
    IS  - 1
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Dept. of Civil Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering and Technology, Rajshahi 6204, Bangladesh

  • Dept. of Civil Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering and Technology, Rajshahi 6204, Bangladesh

  • Dept. of Civil Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering and Technology, Rajshahi 6204, Bangladesh

  • Junior Engineer BETS consulting services Ltd., Dhaka, Bangladesh

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